FORS Annual Meeting and Autumn Seminar on November 27, 2024

On November 27, 2024, FORS held its regular annual meeting and a seminar. The annual meeting approved the club’s budget and action plan for the coming year and elected the board for 2025. The 2025 board has three first-timers, which bodes well in terms of new ideas and the development of the society’s operations. 

The seminar focused on operations research applications in the retail sector. In the seminar, three leading experts in the field gave interesting presentations, which sparked lively discussions among the participants. 

Toni Jarimo, Head of the K-Plussa Customer Program at Kesko, delivered the seminar’s opening presentation. He gave an in-depth overview of the analytics used to create a personalized customer experience. K-Plussa offers several features to its users, such as an automatically generated shopping list and personalized discounts, which make extensive use of transaction data. 

The second presentation was given by Professor Heikki Peura from Aalto University School of Business. Heikki explained how product assortments can be improved using robust optimization techniques. In a recent article, Heikki and his colleagues demonstrated that the product assortment offered to customers should not be fixed, as randomizing the assortment can increase the expected sales. 

In the closing talk, the newly decorated OR person of the year, Antti Punkka from the S Group, shared how operations research is applied in S Group’s workforce planning. With over 40,000 employees in various roles, S Group faces numerous challenges in summer vacation planning. Antti demonstrated how operations research methods can optimize the recruitment of summer workers, taking into account costs, required competencies for shifts, flexibility, and labor requirements. 

Perspectives from the ADA conference

INFORMS Advances in Decision Analysis Conference (ADA 2024) was held on July 10-12 at Aalto University, Espoo. It was chaired by Professor Ahti Salo, the Honorary President of FORS. The conference was the fifth in the series of INFORMS ADA conferences and it brought together 140 international scientists working and interested in decision analysis. ADA 2024 provided a platform for interdisciplinary discussions through talks by researchers in decision analysis, behavioral economics, judgment and decision-making, machine learning, statistics, and other related disciplines with a prescriptive focus.

FORS board members Jussi Leppinen and Topias Terho participated in the ADA Conference, which FORS member Leevi Olander was organizing. They will now share their experiences and thoughts about the event.


Jussi’s thoughts
I really liked this three-day conference. The program was a good balance between versatility and compactness. Keynotes were interesting. With only three parallel sessions, I could always pick the most interesting one without the feeling that I would miss too much. I learned new things. I also liked the size of the conference. When there were just 140 participants, I could always recognize familiar faces. Thus, it was easier to get to know new people. The conference also included evening activities that were relaxing and offered a good chance to speak with colleagues.

I also had the opportunity to practice my presentation skills by introducing my work of developing a framework that guides the development of AI solutions in prognostics and health management.


Topias’s thoughts
For me, ADA was a great experience. In larger conferences such as EURO, I tend to attend only sessions that are close to my field of research. However, since ADA only had three parallel sessions, I was forced to step outside of my habitat and get some exposure to other fields of operations research. My highlights included the Kahneman panel, where esteemed scholars like Don Kleinmuntz reflected on the importance of Daniel Kahneman’s work to their careers and society, and the keynote by Kari Renko, where he presented how decision analysis was used in the Finnish fighter aircraft procurement process.

The overall atmosphere of the conference was warm and exciting, and it was truly a pleasure to participate in the evening activities. It was especially nice to get to know many colleagues from Finland whom I had not previously encountered.


Leevi’s thoughts
ADA 2024 was awesome! Having been a member of the ADA 2024 organizing committee, I can definitively say that the secret behind the success of the practical arrangements of the conference was largely the efforts of Mary-Ann Alfthan (communication & event specialist at Aalto University) and a group of very proactive student volunteers.

I also appreciated the opportunity to listen to interesting presentations, to give my own presentation and especially the informal, yet thought-provoking, discussions with my companions during the conference dinner. All in all, ADA 2024 was such a great experience that I think I will remember it forever!

Public defence in Logistics, M.Sc. (Tech.) Marjut Hirvonen

The doctoral thesis of M.Sc. (Tech.) Marjut Hirvonen, “Leveraging the impact of analytics on organizational performance – a multi-method study,” will be publicly examined at the Aalto University School of Business on Friday, October 25, 2024.

The defence will take place in Ekonominaukio 1, Espoo (Lecture hall U006) at 12:00.

The management of analytics and the development of employees’ analytics skills are needed to maximize the benefits derived from analytics

In the current business environment, companies must optimize their increasingly complex internal processes and supply chain operations to achieve a competitive advantage. Utilizing analytics offers solutions to challenging problems and enables the maximization of business value. Although analytics methods have been extensively studied, practical benefits have been less addressed. Marjut Hirvonen examines the impact of analytics on organizational performance, the benefits of analytics, and best practices for deploying analytics in her doctoral thesis.

’The results show that in companies, it is important to consider not only technical issues but also the management of analytics and the training of staff in the use of analytics to fully benefit from analytical solutions,’ says Marjut Hirvonen.

Three studies – from general insights to specific details

The doctoral thesis includes three separate studies, progressing from a general level to a more detailed level. The first study is a comprehensive meta-analysis of previous literature, examining the relationship between the use of analytics and organizational performance. The importance of analytics skills and management is emphasized in the results to achieve the best possible benefits from analytics.

The second study of the doctoral thesis focuses on the most advanced form of analytics, namely prescriptive analytics, which provides decision recommendations based on data. The study identifies key enablers for the successful deployment of prescriptive analytics based on interviews conducted in several organizations. These key enablers include leadership, sufficient resourcing, and user engagement. In addition to the importance of management support, it is essential to understand that merely implementing analytics technically does not yield the greatest benefits for organizations. Instead, investment should also be made in developing the skills of analytics users.

The third study analyzes the benefits of advanced analytics in optimizing the supply chain for renewable fuels. It identified both monetary and less tangible benefits, such as improved data management. This study encourages the use of analytics across various applications, and similar benefits can be expected to be gained in other industries as well.

The doctoral thesis demonstrates the usefulness of analytics for organizations and helps to succeed in the deployment of prescriptive analytics. The results support the integration of analytics into the company’s strategy and emphasize the importance of developing employees’ analytics skills.

More information about the defence

News about the thesis

Public defence in Systems and Operations Research, M.Sc. (Tech) Olli Herrala

The doctoral thesis of M.Sc. (Tech) Olli Herrala, “Mixed-integer formulations for large-scale energy-environmental optimization”  will be publicly examined at the Aalto University School of Science on Friday, September 6, 2024.

The defence will take place in Otakaari 1, Espoo (hall H304) at 12 noon.

During the past 10 years, we have seen stronger and more frequent impacts of climate change. It is increasingly evident that action should be taken to at least slow down this change. However, making decisions about what exactly should be done is challenging, largely because of the substantial uncertainty in many parts of the problem.

Decision-making under uncertainty has been researched widely in the past 70 years, but most of the research assumes the uncertainty to be independent of our decisions. This is however not the case when making decisions in researching new climate change mitigation techniques such as carbon capture and storage, as these decisions have an impact on the highly uncertain future costs of climate change mitigation. To address this research gap, this thesis presents results on solving problems with decision-dependency in both probabilities and information structures.

This thesis also considers a hierarchical decision-making setting where an international policymaker wants to reduce emissions from electricity production by setting a carbon tax, while avoiding significant decreases in the total production that would increase electricity prices. However, the problem also includes transmission system operators and electricity producers, each with their own goals. The interactions between these players result in a complex problem where a carbon tax might have unexpected consequences such as shifting production from one country to another or simply increasing the price of electricity.

The methods presented in this dissertation allow decision-makers to model and anticipate the effects of decision-dependent uncertainty and hierarchical decision-making processes. The solution methods are based on mixed-integer optimization, leveraging the substantial developments in solving such models during the past 20 years. The case studies presented in the dissertation illustrate the capabilities of the proposed methods and show how they could be used to support decision-making in these complex systems.

More information about the defence

Defence of Thesis in Management Science, Lauri Neuvonen, DI

The doctoral thesis of Lauri Neuvonen, DI, “Supporting decision making in complex multiobjective problems: Practical tools and experiences from the healthcare context.”  will be publicly examined at the Aalto University School of Business on Friday, February 23, 2024.

In many countries, healthcare organizations face increasing pressure for providing more services while also suffering from lack of ressources, both problems exacerbated by aging populations. This development highlights the importance of resource efficiency. At the same time healthcare decisions often have to take into account multiple, potentially conflicting objectives, such as maximizing health benefits and minimizing resource use, and complex interactions between parts of the system. These overlapping requirements make them a challenging and, on the other hand, an interesting application area for multiobjective optimization tools. Multiobjective optimization is a methodology that helps in finding high performing decision recommendations in situations where several, potentially conflicting objectives are pursued. Recent developments in both computing power and algorithms have made such tools viable in supporting decision making related to healthcare problems of practical scope.

This Dissertation develops multiobjective optimization approaches and explores their use in three practical healthcare decision making problems: i) mitigating the impacts of the COVID-19 epidemic, ii) improving the efficiency of the Finnish colorectal cancer screening program, and iii) designing a hospital network for carrying out hip and knee replacement surgeries. These approaches help accommodate uncertainties affecting the performance of the found solutions. They also accommodate hidden or partial information about the decision-maker’s preferences. The overall focus in the approaches is on modeling the problem setting in high enough accuracy for the solutions to provide practical insights, while also being able to leverage multiobjective optimization techniques in finding the most promising solutions.

The contributions of this Dissertation are two-fold: First, it presents multiobjective optimization approaches, supported by other analytical techniques, that can be used to develop decision recommendations for real-life, complex healthcare decision making problems. These approaches help generate insights that would have been difficult to obtain without the use of model-based tools. A second, more general contribution of the Dissertation is the demonstration of the usability, challenges, and benefits of multiobjective optimization in supporting decision making in the field of healthcare.

More information about the defence

EURO 2022 in Espoo – first announcement and call for papers

FIRST ANNOUNCEMENT AND CALL FOR PAPERS

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We have the great pleasure of inviting you to take part in the 32nd EURO Conference to be organized in Espoo, Finland on 3-6 July, 2022.

The Scientific and Organization Committees, chaired by Dolores Romero Morales and Antti Punkka, along with Juuso Liesiö and Eeva Vilkkumaa, are preparing a conference to remember.

EURO 32nd Conference will be an excellent opportunity for the OR community to get together again in a pleasant atmosphere, and we are looking forward to meeting you in Espoo next summer!

PLENARY, KEYNOTE & TUTORIAL SPEAKERS:

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The scientific program will include outstanding plenary, keynote and tutorial talks. Please follow the Conference website www.euro2022espoo.com for more detailed information.

CALL FOR PAPERS AND SESSIONS:

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Researchers, academics, practitioners, and students interested in any branch of Operational Research, mathematical modelling or economic analysis are invited to submit abstracts or organize sessions.

Invited and contributed papers will be organized in parallel sessions. In general, sessions are part of the Conference streams, and streams are grouped in different areas. The list of areas and streams is available at www.euro2022espoo.com.

No participant can present more than one paper at the Conference.

Abstract submission system will be available online on 29 October, via the Conference website www.euro2022espoo.com.

Abstracts: max. 1500 characters; submission deadline: March 4, 2022.

Researchers who wish to organize a stream or an invited session or contribute with a paper within an invited session should contact a PC member of the corresponding area.

IMPORTANT DATES:

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Abstracts:

        Abstract submission start: Friday, October 29, 2022

        Abstract submission deadline: Friday, March 4, 2022

EURO WISDOM Forum (Women In Society: Doing Operational Research and Management Science) & first webinar

Relaying the following message from EURO


Following the EURO 2018 Women in Science and EURO 2019 Women in OR sessions, interested members of the OR community are working with the EURO Executive Committee on an initiative to create the EURO WISDOM Forum (Women In Society: Doing Operational Research and Management Science).

This initiative restates the need for gender main-streaming and affirms that OR/MS can offer exciting opportunities for all women if they have equal access to resources and adequate training. Gender main-streaming aims to integrate a gender dimension into existing institutions and practices in order to achieve meaningful gender equality.

WISDOM is a forum to support, empower, and encourage the participation of all genders in OR/MS within EURO. In particular, it aims to promote inclusivity by the following actions:1. Advise/make recommendations/highlight best practices to the EURO executive on issues facing women in OR. Such guidelines can be disseminated to EURO member societies and Working Groups. Positive progress, outcomes and activities of member societies can serve as a template for other member societies;2. Promote championing, networking and mentoring, particularly of women at the early stages of their career in OR;3. Promote a conversation around how OR can be utilised to help create a diverse and inclusive future.

In January 2020, all EURO member societies were invited to nominate one or two members to participate in establishing the EURO WISDOM Forum. At the moment, the WISDOM Forum organising committee (OC) includes 21 members from 10 European OR societies including two EURO representatives, the EURO Vice Presidents Julia Bennell and Claudia Archetti. The chair of the WISDOM OC is Paula Carroll and the Secretary is Annunziata Esposito Amideo, both from the University College Dublin, Ireland.

The WISDOM Forum will operate through three subcommittees focusing on Research, Events and Public Relations (PR). The subcommittees chairs are: Research : Paula Carroll, Events :
Renata Mansini (University of Brescia ,Italy), and PR: Tatiana Tchemisova (University of Aveiro, Portugal).



Our first event is a webinar on “Bias/Fairness and Artificial Intelligence”. You can register for the webinar and subscribe to WISDOM Forum updates by emailing WISDOM@euro-online.org.
Webinar Format* Expert panellists explains data bias in their respective disciplines and application areas (~10/15 minutes each);* Roundtable discussion with audience participation (~15 minutes).
Panellists

Prof Alan Smeaton is Professor of Computing at Dublin City University, Ireland and a Founding Director of the Insight Centre for Data Analytics at DCU. He will speak on Data bias in automatic image and video captioning and its impact. For more information about Alan see https://www.computing.dcu.ie/~asmeaton/

Dr Claire Gormley is an Associate Professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics in University College Dublin, Ireland and a Funded Investigator in the Insight Centre for Data Analytics and the VistaMilk research centre. Her research develops novel statistical methods for the analysis of complex data arising from substantive problems. The methods solve applied problems across a range of disciplines, including epigenetics, metabolomics, genomics, social science, sports science and political science. She will speak on Be fair to the models: the importance of assumptions in data analytics and modelling. For more information about Claire see https://people.ucd.ie/claire.gormley;

Dr Fintan Costello, is an Associate Professor in the School of Computer Science, University College Dublin, Ireland. His research interests cover a number of different areas in computer science, psychology and maths. His main interests are: biases in human reasoning and decision making; processes of rational inference in cognition; the origins of bias and rationality in human thought; computational models of probabilistic reasoning; computational models of decision making. He will speak on Bias and rationality in human reasoning (and why the same biases apply to AI). For more information about Fintan see https://people.ucd.ie/fintan.costello.

Dr Susan Leavy is an Assistant Professor in the School of Information and Communication Studies, University College Dublin, Ireland with research interests in artificial intelligence and digital policy, developing interdisciplinary frameworks for the governance and regulation of machine learning algorithms. She will speak on Gender bias and Artificial Intelligence. For more information about Susan see https://people.ucd.ie/susan.leavy

FacilitatorDr Paula Carroll, UCD, Chair WISDOM Forum

Analytics for a better world initiative & first webinar

Relaying the following communication from Dimitris Bertsimas (MIT) & Dick den Hertog (Tilburg University)


Dear all,

COVID-19 is one of the big challenges our society is facing nowadays, and there are many more. We believe that Analytics can be of much value to improve our world. It is encouraging to see that more and more (especially young) Analytics researchers are enthusiastic to use Analytics to make this world a better place. Analytics has, e.g., already contributed significantly to the Sustainable Development Goals of the United Nations. 

To make these contributions of Analytics for a Better World more visible, and to stimulate research in this area, we have started a new initiative: ”Analytics for a Better World Webinars (ABW-W)”.   Every month we will organize one webinar (most probably via Zoom) on a high societal impact Analytics project. The focus of the webinars is not on theoretical innovation, but on impact. These webinars will be recorded, and the videos can be used in your Analytics courses.

The first speaker is Prof. Dimitris Bertsimas (MIT, Cambridge) who will present the ongoing  work of his group of 20+ PhD and Master students and colleagues at MIT (http://www.covidanalytics.io/team) on a variety of aspects of COVID-19 as detailed in  covidanalytics.io. The website contains many  downloadable models and data.

Specifically, he will discuss  

1) a new epidemiological model of the evolution of COVID-19, detailed in https://github.com/COVIDAnalytics/DELPHI

2)  a new machine learning model (based on optimal classification trees) for predicting mortality using data from an Italian hospital from Cremona Italy detailed in http://www.covidanalytics.io/risk_calculator. Depending on progress he will discuss how to prioritize patients to use ICUs to save more lives.

3) a new optimization model for allocating ventilators  among states in the US detailed in http://www.covidanalytics.io/ventilator_allocation

4) a data generation process from 130+ papers written in March 2020 regarding COVID-19 detailed in http://www.covidanalytics.io/dataset  and insights gleaned from it http://www.covidanalytics.io/interactive-graph

The emphasis of this work has been rapid prototyping and implementation. This talk also represents an invitation to researchers around the world to contribute with ideas and analyses of their own in a collaborative spirit with the objective to address this pandemic using analytics. 

The precise date and especially the time, depends on the geographical locations of the participants, and will be determined later.

If you are interested in participating in ABW-W, please write an e-mail to Dick den Hertog (D.denHertog@tilburguniversity.edu). 

Please, feel free to forward this e-mail to others who might be interested in this new initiative.

Kind regards,

Dimitris Bertsimas (MIT, Cambridge, US)
Dick den Hertog (Tilburg University, Tilburg, The Netherlands)